30 Hours

In just 30 hours the green flag waves and the 105th running of the Indianapolis 500 is underway. We have waited two years to see the 500 on Memorial Day weekend in person. 30 hours is a piece of cake.

The only thing on the agenda today is the drivers’ meeting at 10 am. it will be streamed on the indycar app. It feels strange not going to the track today. The IMS Museum is open, however.

There is a memorabilia show in Plainfield beginning at 9 am today. I will be there in my never ending quest to obtain the race program for every year since i was born. No thanks, I don’t need the 1911 program.

This morning I am already hearing the prerace soundtrack in my head.”‘On the Banks of the Wabash” is now playing.

Have a safe day, be careful if you are heading to the track tomorrow, and dress warm. My weather app says it will be 62 degrees at the green flag. It could be the coldest 500 since 1992. The difference is it will be warmer and sunnier tomorrow than it was on that miserable day. Tomorrow should also be about 10 degrees warmer than yesterday.

Dixon Leads Busy Carb Day After Delay

Photo of Scott Dixon by James Black, Indycar

Scott Dixon had the fastest lap in today’s rain delayed and rain shortened Carb day practice for Sunday’s 105th running of the Indianapolis 500. The session began more than two and a half hours late due to morning rain and ended about ten minutes short of the two hour time limit as more rain moved in.

Dixon parked his car for the day after 45 minutes of running. Colton Herta ended his day about 20 minutes early, Both drivers seemed very happy with their cars. Herta hopes for similar conditions on race day.

Rossi and fuel at Indy- Alexander Rossi experienced a fuel spill before the prasctice session began, delaying the start by about six minutes. Indycar assessed a five minute penalty on the 27 car. Rossi has had issues during the 500 with fueling the car, even in 2016 when he won. A longer than normal pit stop due to a fueling issue may have cost him the race in 2019,

“Let’s hope we got our fuel issues out of the way early in Indianapolis,” Rossi told NBC Sports.

From earlier:Indianapolis 500 Preview

Indianapolis 500 Preview- A Battle of Generations

Notes

Eight Chevys were in the top twelve today, including all four Penske cars. Chevys were virtually invisible during qualifications.

Personal observation- I liked the way and the seemingly easy way Herta and Graham Rahal were able to pass other cars.

Herta and Dixon exchanged the point for several laps, possibly a preview of what we might see Sunday.

The 33 drivers ran a total of 2,350 laps this afternoon.

The results:

19Scott DixonChip Ganassi RacingHonda228.323647
222Simon PagenaudTeam PenskeChevy227.1575789
32Josef NewgardenTeam PenskeChevy226.8568893
447Conor DalyEd Carpenter RacingChevy226.3995370
598Marco AndrettiAndretti Herta-Haupert w/Marco & Curb-AgajanianHonda226.3966465
612Will PowerTeam PenskeChevy226.223882
73Scott McLaughlinTeam PenskeChevy226.1922166
848Tony KanaanChip Ganassi RacingHonda225.929748
930Takuma SatoRahal Letterman Lanigan RacingHonda225.7016594
1024Sage KaramDreyer & Reinbold RacingChevy225.5423661
115Pato O’WardArrow McLaren SPChevy225.5115793
1259Max ChiltonCarlinChevy225.3488489
1327Alexander RossiAndretti AutosportHonda225.3244751
1414Sebastien BourdaisAJ Foyt EnterprisesChevy225.1632733
1506Helio CastronevesMeyer Shank RacingHonda225.1611762
1686Juan Pablo MontoyaArrow McLaren SPChevy225.1493354
171JR HildebrandAJ Foyt EnterprisesChevy224.9453070
1818Ed JonesDale Coyne Racing with Vasser SullivanHonda224.9101271
1915Graham RahalRahal Letterman Lanigan RacingHonda224.8728100
2028Ryan Hunter-ReayAndretti AutosportHonda224.7193371
2129James HinchcliffeAndretti Steinbrenner AutosportHonda224.5461992
2210Alex PalouChip Ganassi RacingHonda224.5005871
238Marcus EricssonChip Ganassi RacingHonda224.4686184
247Felix RosenqvistArrow McLaren SPChevy224.4282061
254Dalton KellettAJ Foyt EnterprisesChevy224.0511954
2625Stefan WilsonAndretti AutosportHonda224.0477174
2745Santino FerrucciRahal Letterman Lanigan RacingHonda223.8841177
2826Colton HertaAndretti AutosportHonda223.6702678
2960Jack HarveyMeyer Shank RacingHonda223.664876
3020Ed CarpenterEd Carpenter RacingChevy223.6542461
3121Rinus VeeKayEd Carpenter RacingChevy223.0681056
3216Simona De SilvestroParetta AutosportChevy223.0232572
3351Pietro FittipaldiDale Coyne Racing w/Rick Ware RacingHonda222.1736488

Indianapolis 500 Preview- A Battle of Generations

Rarely in the 104 race history of the Indianapolis 500 have generational lines been so distinct. There are the older veterans in their 40s- Scott Dixon, Will Power, Ryan Hunter-Reay, and Takuma Sato- and the young drivers with three or fewer years of experience, all under age 25- Colton Herta, Rinus VeeKay, Alex Palou, and Pato O’Ward. All are talented and competitive. This combination of young drivers and older veterans should make for a great race. The veterans have numerous wins, and the rookies named already have seven total wins in a combined five ears of experience.

I still consider the Indianapolis 500 a veteran’s race. Experience counts a lot here. As we saw in 2016, however, a veteran on the pit box can coach a rookie to the victory. There are several drivers who could win this race. I have had a more difficult time picking a winner this year than I did in 2007. That year I didn’t make my pick until after the Carb Day session. Dario Franchitti mad a bold move going into turn 1, passing two cars. He instantly became my pick. befor eI share my choice, there are some other story lines to follow in what will be an historic race

The Brink of History

Many possibilities exist for an historic day Sunday. Should Scott Dixon win, he will have a double shot of records. The win will his 52nd, tying Mario Andretti for second on the all time career victory list. Dixon also will join seven other drivers as two time winners of the 500. Takuma Sato was themost recent two time winner last year.

If either Colton Herta or Rinus VeeKay win, they will become the youngest winner in 500 history, breaking a record that has stood since 1952. Troy Ruttman won that year at the age of 22 years, 80 days. On race day, Herta will be 21 years, 61 days old, VeeKay will be 20 years, 260 days old.

More potential for multiple race winners exist- Alexander Rossi, Ryan Hunter-Reay, Tony Kanaan, Simon Pagenaud, and Will Power seek their second victory. Juan Pablo Montoya and Sato are looking for their third, and Helio Castroneves has a chance to become the fourth four time winner.

Honda vs. Chevy

Through the first three days of practice last week Chevy and Honda powered cars seemed to be evenly matched. When the engines received the added boost, Honda teams surged ahead. Only the Chevys from Ed Carpenter Racing were competitive, and two team cars were in the Fast Nine. Pato O’Ward had the next fastest Chevy in 12th place. Most puzzling was the lack of speed from Team Penske. their highest qualifier was rookie Scott McLaughlin in 17th.

With the boost taken out for the race, will Chevy cars be able to get to the front and challenge the Hondas? With limited passing deep in the pack, the Penske cars have quite a challenge ahead on Sunday.

The two engine manufacturers have been close all year. Honda holds a three point lead in the manufacturers’ standings.

Intramural Battles

Chip Ganassi Racing has four strong cars all starting in the first three rows. Dixon is on the pole, Palou starts sixth, Kanaan fifth, and Marcus Ericsson rolls off from ninth. Dixon, Palou, and Kanaan could have their own three way fight for the top spot. Dixon leads Palou by just 13 points (18 unofficially after the fast nine points) for the series championship.

Ed Carpenter Racing has Rinus VeeKay starting thoird and Ed carpenter beginning the race in fourth place. Carpenter’s only goal each year is to win the 500. Veekay, winner of the GMR Grand Prix two weeks ago, is looking to complete a may sweep. A team 1-2 finish is not out of the question. Who would win?

Andretti Autosport is in great shape. Colton Herta lines up second, Hunter-Reay seventh, and Alexander Rossi is 10th. The race could come down to a duel between Herta and Rossi, who i think has the best chance to win of anyone outside the top nine.

Others to Watch

Paretta Autosport and driver Simona DeSilvestro will have many watching their progress. The team will have an historic ove3r the wall crew consisting of four women. Paretta’s staff is about 70% women. getting in the field is quite an accomplishment for this new team.

How far can Will Power advance? He starts thirty-second, the worst qualifying spot in his career. He needs to careful at the start. I believe he can get a top twenty with some creative pit strategy.

Many are considering defending race winner Takuma Sato as a repeat winner, but he has a tough way to go from 15th. I always like to track the previous year’s winner.

My Pick

This is a challenging field to pick winner from. There is a driver I have had my eye on this season. I first took notice of him at Barber during qualifying. he is on a team capable of delivering a championship drive. While the 500 is a veteran’s track, I am going with Alex Palou. Palou is the only driver to lead laps in every race this season, and that streak stays intact Sunday.

No Balloons, Bare Bones Schedule for Carb Day and Race Day

One of the major signals that the Indianapolis 500 is about to begin is the balloon release at the end of the singing “(Back Home Again in) Indiana.” As the final notes of the song gradually fade, thousands of multi- colored balloons fill the the sky above the pagoda and float to parts unknown. It is a beautiful site. But for the second year in a row, it will not take place as the Speedway wants to limit the infield to race essential personnel. I get that. The bigger question is, will the balloons ever come back?

There is pressure from environmental groups to stop the balloon release altogether, and the speedway says it is looking into the matter. No matter their decision, someone will be unhappy.

Traditions used to die hard at IMS, but lately it seems that it has become easy to discard some long standing practices. Has the COVId-19 pandemic changed things forever? I think it may have. I could live without the balloon release, although it is one of my favorite parts of the pre-race ceremonies. Perhaps a virtual release shown on the video boards will have to do. We should have an answer to the future of the balloons by this time next year. Meanwhile the fate of this part of 500 tradition is up in the air.

Carb Day: Come In, Watch Cars, Leave

The schedule for Carb Day is simple. Gates are open from 8 am-2 pm. cars are on track from 11-1. There are no other Carb Day activities. I hope for 2022 we can get back to our regular Race Week schedule. It appears the same stands that were open for qualifying will be open tomorrow. I will post the details tomorrow morning.

Race Day: Shortened Pre Race

The race day morning schedule also shows a minimum of activity before the cars fire up to start the race. The program looks like just the bare essentials- National Anthem, invocation, “Taps” “Indiana,”and the command.

I am fine with this I have felt that the pre-race ceremonies have become overly long and drawn out for the last few years, and need to be more condensed. I am not saying to cut any of the elements, except maybe a couple of songs, but as the extended length of the ceremonies really dulls the tense build up to the start of the race.

2022 cannot get here soon enough. Full carb day details tomorrow, and possibly another post later today.

The Land of the Singing Fences

Editor’s note: I begin today with a poem i wrote about the happiness i felt last week in returning to IMS in May. Later i will discuss 1981, Booby Unser’s third win. Thanks for reading

The Land of the Singing Fences

Two Mays since last I stepped inside the gates,

Now a  joyous return to once again,

To the land of the singing fences,

To hear tires squeal and engines roar,

To drink in the sight of a speeding painted rainbow,

To inhale the sweet smell of ethanol,

To hear my favorite orchestra play once again,

Vibrating from the growl and the whoosh

Inside the bright white walls,

Of the sacred ground where fences sing in May.

Drivers Choose Milk

The 33 drivers in Sunday’s 105th running of the Indianapolis 500 have selected which type of milk to pour over their heads if they win the race. Courtesy of the Indiana dairy association Twitter:

How the Front Row Fares in the Race

The 2021 front row. Photo by Joe Skibinski, Indycar

Starting in the front row has been a great place to begin the Indianapolis 500 over the last three years. There is no reason to think 2021 will be any different. the cars are basically the same, passing will be difficult, and the front row starting teams have shown great reliability over the course of an entire season.

Forty-four of the 104 Indianapolis 500 Mile Races have been won from the front row. The pole winner has won the most times, 21. Simon Pagenaud is the most recent driver win from the pole in 2019. His win from pole was the first win from the top spot since Helio Castroneves won in 2009. Since 2006, when Sam Hornish, Jr. won at the line from Marco Andretti, the race winner has started on the pole just three more times. In addition to Pagenaud and Castroneves, Scott Dixon won from pole in 2008. Pagenaud’s victory saved the 2010 decade from being just the third decade without a race winner starting from pole. The first decade of the race, 1911-1920, and the 1940s did not see the pole winner in Victory Lane.

Starting second has produced the fewest winners among the the front row starters, 11. That number seems pretty good, but only once since 1970 has the winner come from the middle spot of row 1. Juan Pablo Montoya won from the second starting spot in 2000. The 21 year drought has a decent chance of ending this year with Colton Herta.

The outside of the front row is the preferred starting spot for many drivers. Some say it presents a better approach to the first turn. 12 winners have started third, including Takuma Sato last year

.

A look at the chart below shows that starting places 1-7 have produced 68 of the 104 winners. The most wins further back than that come 15th, where four winners have emerged.

A 500 mile race is long, and many things happen. there have been pole winners who haven’t completed the first lap. Roberto Guerrero in 1992 spun into the the inside fence on the pace lap. Scott Sharp in 2001 crashed in turn 1 of the first lap. There are no guarantees, but if you are playing the odds, the pole and the third place starters are decent wagers.